Bonn - on Sunday when the polls close at 18 clock, the city spokesman Friedel Frechen already proclaiming the ers te prognosis.
And he is sure: "That will be very close to the bottom line." Forecast is based on a survey of Bonners to be interviewed after leaving the polling stations.
The idea had Friedel Frechen: He recalled that were manufactured in the eighties already in the administration reliable predictions for elections. And why should not now be possible?
Klaus Kosack, director of statistics, developed a new program. The 60-year-old sought from nine constituencies in around 25,000 voters. Together with 20 volunteers, are primarily students, citizens interviewed up to 16 clock. After the surveys are evaluated and analyzed with a special program.
Frechen: "We avail ourselves of course, the same findings as the big institutions." Order at which the forecast would have been far too expensive. "Why, if we have a private in the ranks who can do this too?" Fear of embarrassment have Frechen and Kosack not: "There will be no chaos, even if the result is very tight."
After the counts are then drawn on throughout the evening projections and updated. "We have made the best experiences."
